Provision of Financial Risk Modelling Services for Homes England's Recoverable Investment Portfolio
Awarded 11 Dec 2023
About
Homes England awarded a contract to 20:20, Government Actuary's Department, Grant Thornton UK LLP, and Mazars LLP for financial risk modelling services.
The contract, valued at £1,300,000, supports Homes England's Quantitative Risk and Stress Testing team in translating quarterly macroeconomic forecasts into parameter estimates for Expected Credit Loss and Stress Testing models.
These models quantify financial risk across a multi-billion-pound Recoverable Investment portfolio of approximately 300 loans, heavily concentrated in the UK housing market with a skew towards small and medium housebuilders and special purpose vehicles.
The services involve producing Probability of Default, Exposure at Default, and Loss Given Default estimates on an ongoing basis, leveraging internal credit ratings and external ratings agency benchmarking.
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