Tender: Quarterly Macroeconomic and Housing Forecasting and Scenario Services – Homes England (National Housing Bank)

About

Homes England is seeking a supplier for quarterly macroeconomic and housing forecasting and scenario services covering the UK, and regions and local authorities in England, to support market intelligence and planning of current and future housing and regeneration investments through the National Housing Bank. Forecasts must include a baseline and two distinct scenarios (upside and downside), be underpinned by a pre-existing reputable model, and deliver robust, transparent and fully auditable inputs, assumptions and outputs to meet Homes England’s governance requirements as a National Audit Office‑audited public body. The forecasts will be used by Risk, Finance and Business Planning and Performance teams to assess portfolio resilience, programme performance and future market conditions, and will specifically underpin IFRS 9 calculations and strategic planning for intervention, capital deployment and regeneration activity by highlighting potential turning points, emerging risks and structural shifts.